07.09.08
Quick Mention: The Big Lie About GNU/Linux ‘Market Share’
We wrote about this before, but the following new item is well worth reading.
As I recently reported, there is an order of magnitude difference between the market share of Linux “out there” in the world, and the market share of LInux on Scienceblogs.com and on this very blog. Subsequently, I was trolled by my very own brother “… so, when is Luniux going to reach 1% market share?….” and this item has come out on ZDNet (which we all know is essentially funded by Microsoft, right?): Linux - Still chasing that elusive 1% market share.
[...]
So I went and looked. Here is the description of the database used by the Market Share service that everyone seems to rely on:
We collect data from the browsers of site visitors to our exclusive on-demand network of live stats customers. The data is compiled from approximately 160 million visitors per month. The information published is an aggregate of the data from this network of hosted website statistics. The site unique visitor and referral information is summarized on a monthly basis.
WTF?
Is this supposed to be some kind of unbiased sample? But wait, there’s more…
[...]
The complexity of this problem is actually rather large. But I can tell you one thing: If you were my graduate student and you came to me with this sampling strategy, I’d send you back to kindergarten. (If I had that power.)
The aim is clear: to demoralise, to prevent vendor support from materialising, and to support marketing decisions. As we showed before, in Boycott Novell over one third of the requests come from GNU/Linux users.
There is a Big Lie out there. Just like all Big Lies, it’s hugely dangerous. Shoot it down whenever it comes up. Failing to do so makes the Big Lie a reality in people’s minds, being the self-fulfilling prophecy it’s intended to serve as. █
Highlight: Novell was the first to acknowledge that Microsoft FUD tactics had substance. Novell then used anti-Linux FUD to market itself. 
Highlight: Xandros let Microsoft make patent claims and brag about (paid-for) OOXML support. 
Highlight: Linspire's CEO not only fell into Microsoft arms, but he also assisted the company's attack on GNU/Linux. 
Highlight: Microsoft craves pseudo (proprietary) standards and gets its way using proxies and influence which it buys. 
Highlight: The invasion into the open source world is intended to leave Linux companies neglected, due to financial incentives from Microsoft. 
Analysis: Xen, an open source hypervisor, possibly fell victim to Microsoft's aggressive (and stealthy) acquisition-by-proxy strategy.
DOUGman said,
July 9, 2008 at 6:36 pm
If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it….
mike said,
July 9, 2008 at 7:52 pm
you have to admit, your readership is likely to be somewhat skewed in the gnu direction …
it is a pity greg did not publish his numbers though (at least, i could not find them).
Ken said,
July 21, 2008 at 10:05 am
[mike- "you have to admit, your readership is likely to be somewhat skewed in the gnu direction …"[
Bingo. So the number is not 1% or 33%. It is somewhere in between. I think that was the point being demonstrated.
Needs Sunlight said,
December 4, 2008 at 4:26 am
“So the number is not 1% or 33%. It is somewhere in between.”
Ok. Some say the sun rises in the east. Others say the sun rises in the west. The truth must then be somewhere in between.
Jo Shields said,
December 4, 2008 at 4:33 am
Another interesting market share stat http://community.enemyterritory.com/index.php?q=node/258
Is it the truth? ‘course not. But it’s still interesting in its own way