EditorsAbout the SiteComes vs. MicrosoftUsing This Web SiteSite ArchivesCredibility IndexOOXMLOpenDocumentPatentsNovellNews DigestSite NewsRSS

01.08.09

Microsoft’s Highly Confidential GNU/Linux Share Figures (2003)

Posted in Antitrust, GNU/Linux, Microsoft at 9:47 am by Dr. Roy Schestowitz

Antitrust exhibit unleashed

According to Microsoft’s own intelligence, almost 20% of the organisations in Brazil intended to move to GNU/Linux in 2003. Is that why Microsoft sends lackeys over there [1, 2]?

Microsoft calls this “Linux Heat Map.” It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

Linux heat map
View large image
View the original PDF

That’s Microsoft own estimation and that’s just for desktops in 2003. GNU/Linux has gained a lot since.

“[If I ask you who is Microsoft's biggest competitor now, who would it be?] Open…Linux. I don’t want to say open source. Linux, certainly have to go with that.”

Steve Ballmer (Microsoft’s CEO), February 28th, 2008

Update: Here it is in ODF format, thanks to a reader who transcribed it by hand. Some of the numbers were hard to make out, so the reader would not claim 100% accuracy.

Share this post: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Reddit
  • co.mments
  • DZone
  • email
  • Google Bookmarks
  • LinkedIn
  • NewsVine
  • Print
  • Technorati
  • TwitThis
  • Facebook

If you liked this post, consider subscribing to the RSS feed or join us now at the IRC channels.

Pages that cross-reference this one

19 Comments

  1. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 9:57 am

    Gravatar

    It pretty much contradicts claims that Microsoft is not bothered by desktop GNU/Linux.

    Where does it show that Brazil is moving to Linux on the desktop?

    It might be true, I don’t know, but the “proof” you supplied does not show that at all. It just says Linux (which could just as easily be on servers or some mix).

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of businesses evaluating-or-deploying Linux, just wanted to be clear that it isn’t the percentage of businesses actually running Linux (which is nearer to 0.4% to 4%, depending on the business size).

    It should also be noted that these figures don’t tell us how many of the servers/desktops at these businesses run Linux. For all we know, it could just be 1 machine or it could be all of them (or anywhere in between).

  2. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    The 20% you mentioned for Brazil is also just percentage of small/medium sized businesses.

    Although, to be fair, there is a good percentage of other sized businesses evaluating Linux as well.

    (MidMarket: 26.6% and Enterprise: 13%)

  3. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Gravatar

    “Forty percent of servers run Windows, 60 percent run Linux…”

    Steve Ballmer (September 2008)

  4. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:04 am

    Gravatar

    And… that refutes my comments, how, exactly?

  5. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:17 am

    Gravatar

    In case it still hasn’t sunk in yet, my point is that this data sheet taken completely out of context (which it is), is useless for drawing any meaningful conclusions about how badly Linux is eating into Microsoft’s install-base (on either servers or desktops).

  6. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:20 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, it’s hard to parse the phrase “primary OS” as anything but desktop OS, unless M$ recommends dual booted servers. Besides that, Windows on the desktop is where M$’s big money comes from. Servers to them are more of a way to keep that lock in than they are a source of revenue. The figures have only gotten worse for them since the Vista Failure.

  7. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:32 am

    Gravatar

    Dan,

    I’ve been busy doing something else while you carried on spewing your usual heckles.

    If you hate this site so much, read another site.

  8. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:37 am

    Gravatar

    twitter: I don’t think Primary OS means desktop, necessarily.

    However, after re-examining the sheet it seems I was missing the “% Organizations that will Change Primary OS to Linux” row which is the row that had 19%, 26.6%, 13% (which I mistakenly noted in a previous comment as being from the “Evaluating…” row).

    Phrased like that, I would suspect that “Primary OS” likely means that the businesses are planning on installing Linux on a majority of the machines they have – hence “Primary OS”. I doubt they are talking about dual-booting here.

    So it’s a bit clearer than I had originally read, but we still don’t know how many of those businesses actually stuck with Linux (I remember a lot of businesses at that time making a big fuss about switching to Linux only to later discover that their purpose was to get a cheaper price from Microsoft).

  9. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:39 am

    Gravatar

    I should have the text soon.

  10. Dan O'Brian said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:43 am

    Gravatar

    Roy: “the text” as in the rest of the context that this chart was meant to be viewed with?

    If so, could you consider, in the future, posting these sorts of things in the same article rather than posting the chart alone and then the context in a later article?

    I think it would help everyone (including yourself).

  11. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:48 am

    Gravatar

    I’ll modify this one as I go along.

  12. Roy Schestowitz said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:54 am

    Gravatar

    Okay, ODF-formatted sheet added.

  13. Master Myztry said,

    January 8, 2009 at 10:55 am

    Gravatar

    Virtualization and Terminal Services will be important in the transition.
    A lot of the original Windows boxes commonly had a Telnet connection to the existing mainframe software.
    In situations where Linux is rising, Windows becomes like the (legacy) mainframe. Thus the overlap of Operating Systems.

  14. AlexH said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:13 am

    Gravatar

    It would be interesting to compare Microsoft’s numbers with other people’s. I doubt Microsoft is gathering these numbers directly; it would be interesting to see who they trust (since this is effectively competitor analysis).

  15. twitter said,

    January 8, 2009 at 11:28 am

    Gravatar

    Dan, there are some very good public indicators of where things have gone since M$ made this chart. Especially telling is the US market, which was one of the lowest GNU/Linux adaptors at the time. As early as July 2007, a Patchlink study of 250 businesses found GNU/Linux migration plans up from 2% to 8%. By November more than 40% of IT pros had plans to leave Windows in the next year. In April of 2008, Gartner declared the collapse of Windows. At the same time more commercial developers had switched to GNU/Linux than Vista. By the end of the year both large and small businesses were planning to skip Vista, leaving OSX and GNU/Linux to take up the slack. I have not seen recent numbers but they have to look worse for M$ – the only thing the company had going for them was a set of inferior defacto standards. With both large business and government looking to get away from those standards, that advantage is nullified.

  16. zeke123 said,

    February 4, 2009 at 3:33 pm

    Gravatar

    You had a few links to Brazil yesterday like:
    http://ostatic.com/blog/brazilian-ministry-of-education-embraces-open-source-in-a-big-way

    and I just found in my links this April post from KDE developer Mauricio Piacentini:
    http://piacentini.livejournal.com/7871.html

    50,000,000 brazilian students will be using KDE based Gnu-Linux distros once their project is completed by the end of this year.
    Yeah, these are not buyers but users which is an important distinction.

    I travelled to Brazil in 2006 and Venezuela in 2008 and got to learn a lot about the Brazilan recycling programs for old hardware for the favelas. Both countries have a rich upper class and a huge dirt poor population although Venezuela is light years ahead in terms of accessibility to education (imagine the nerve of that bastard Chavez giving medical and dental care to the 75% of the population which has never seen a dentist or doctor).
    Gnu-Linux is an important component when it comes to recycling old and still usable hardware and their purchases of new equipment is overwhelmingly penguinlike.
    Most importantly the Brazilian FLOSS community is huge and vibrant and recognizes the importance of collaboration and controlling their own destiny.

    I would say that the Brazilian Gnu-Linux deployments are the largest anywhere on the planet and its community one of the strongest. Of course, in the anglophone world, it might as well be invisible.

  17. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 4, 2009 at 4:02 pm

    Gravatar

    We have a regular contributor here from Brazil. The Linux mindshare (and market share) over there is high.

  18. David Gargan said,

    February 19, 2009 at 2:37 pm

    Gravatar

    I am very interested in the topic of market share of MS vs Open Source in Brasil. I am thinking of moving to Brasil shortly and was considering on how to leverage my IT skills in that market.
    I am currently a Livelink consultant with most of that experience on Windows (I am MCSE NT4) though I do have some exposure to Sun OS (Solaris 7).
    Should I be considering becoming more proficient at the Open Source or is MS making enough progress in Brasil that I may find opportunities by cerifying at the newer MSCE levels?

    Thanks inadvance, I would really like to get in contact with your Brazilian contributor (Eu falo Portugues).

  19. Roy Schestowitz said,

    February 19, 2009 at 4:20 pm

    Gravatar

    David,

    There are many videos right here that you may find informative. These includes chats with people who provide GNU/Linux training in Brazil. Let me know if you need more resources.

What Else is New


  1. Microsoft is Interjecting Itself Into GNU/Linux and Free Software News, Even Events and Foundations

    Microsoft's entryism strategy is proving effective as Microsoft successfully embeds itself inside the idealogical competition, subverting the competition's overall message and diluting the competition's focus on Free software



  2. The Unethical Business of Selling Fear of Free/Libre Software Bugs (Black Duck, Sonatype, and Symantec)

    The spreading of fear of Free/Open Source software (FOSS) is now a growth industry, so proprietary opportunists are eager to capitalise on it, even if by distorting the truth



  3. Patients' Data at Risk as NHS Reinforces Its Microsoft/Accenture Stockholm Syndrome

    The worst privacy violator in the world and the firm behind LSE failures are pocketing as much as £0.35 billion of British taxpayers' money to acquire access to very sensitive data of British people



  4. Links 26/4/2015: Debian 8, OpenMandriva Lx 3 Alpha, Mageia 5 RC

    Links for the day



  5. Links 25/4/2015: Debian LTS Plans, Turing Phone Runs Linux

    Links for the day



  6. Who Kills Yahoo? It's Microsoft, Not Yahoo!

    The media should blame Microsoft, not Marissa Mayer, for what's going on (and has been going on for 7 years) at Yahoo!



  7. EPO Management is Trying Hard to Appease Its Critics While Pushing Forth Unitary Patent Agenda

    The European Patent Office and European Commission promote the agenda of large multinational corporations (at the expense or European citizens) and critics are being kept at bay



  8. Real Patent Reform Will Not Come From Biggest Backers of GNU/Linux, Not Even Google

    A look at the 'new' Google, the company which is hoarding patents (2,566 last year alone) instead of fighting for reform



  9. Microsoft's Troll Intellectual Ventures Loses Software Patents

    Intellectual Ventures is bluffing with software patents, but this time around it doesn't get its way



  10. Links 24/4/2015: Ubuntu and Variants in the News, Red Hat Developer Toolset 3.1

    Links for the day



  11. Links 23/4/2015: Ubuntu 15.04 is Out, Debian 8.0 Out Very Soon

    Links for the day



  12. Links 22/4/2015: Fedora 22 Beta, Atlassian Acquires BlueJimp

    Links for the day



  13. The Dying Debate Over Patent Scope (Including Software Patents) Replaced by 'Trolls' (But Not the Biggest Ones)

    The corporate media and Web sites or people who are funded by large corporations have essentially suppressed any debate about issues in the patent granting process, thereby guarding software patents and preventing criticism of large corporations' power grab



  14. The Patents Gold Rush Continues

    The morbid obsession with monopolising mere ideas still dominates the media, even increasingly in China



  15. 9 Millionth US Patent Tells a Story of Failure and USPTO Misconduct

    The USPTO, much like FISA (notorious court for surveillance/espionage authorisation), has become a rubber-stamping operation rather than a patents examination centre, as new evidence and old evidence serve to show



  16. HBO Helps Shift Debate Over Patents to 'Trolls' (Scale), Not Scope

    More of that awkward shifting of the patent debate towards small actors who are misusing patents, not large conglomerates like Apple and Microsoft which use patents to destroy competitors, crush startups, drive up prices, and so on



  17. Software Patents Are Still Menacing to Free Software: OIN Expands Scope, HEVC Adds to MPEG-LA Burden/Tax, Google and Facebook Give in on Patents

    A look at recent news about software patents and especially Free/libre software, which is inherently incompatible with them



  18. The Latest Developments Around Microsoft's Clever Attack on Android/Linux

    Microsoft's campaign of destruction, extortion, etc. against the most widely used Linux-powered operating system is revisited in light of new reports



  19. The Microsoft 'Community' is Maligning the Free Software Community

    Dishonest generalisations and baseless deductions portray the Free/Open Source software communities as a nasty place that leads to poverty and despair



  20. Googlebombing 'Microsoft Open Source' Even When Microsoft Shuts Down Its 'Open Source' Proxy

    A massive failure by the press to cover the most basic news, which is Microsoft putting an end to a supposedly 'Open Source' effort



  21. Links 22/4/2015: Calculate Linux 14.16, SparkyLinux 4.0 RC KDE

    Links for the day



  22. Links 21/4/2015: Project Photon, Ubuntu Touch Buzz

    Links for the day



  23. Embrace, Extend, Extinguish: How Microsoft Plans to Get Rid of Linux/Android

    Microsoft's sheer abuse against Android is laying bare for everyone to see now that Microsoft has paralysed Google's legal department with potential antitrust action in Europe



  24. Yahoo's Current CEO (Mayer, Formerly of Google) is Trying to End Yahoo! Status as Microsoft Proxy

    There are signs of relinquishing Microsoft's control over Yahoo! after Marissa Mayer worked to end the company's suicidal/abusive relationship with Steve Ballmer's Microsoft



  25. Repeating Microsoft's Lies Without Any Journalistic Assessment

    Poor fact-checking by relatively large media/news sites results in Microsoft's patently false claims being repeated uncritically



  26. Links 19/4/2015: New KaOS (2015.04), Manjaro Linux 0.8.13 Pre1

    Links for the day



  27. Links 18/4/2015: ExTiX 15.2, RaspArch

    Links for the day



  28. Microsoft Tired of Pretending to be Nice to Free/Open Source Software (FOSS), Microsoft 'Open' Technologies Dumped

    Microsoft dumps its proxy (misleadingly named 'Open Tech') and other attacks on Free software persist from the inside, often through so-called 'experts' whose agenda is to sell proprietary software



  29. More Translations of French Article About the EPO

    German and Dutch translations of the Le Monde article are now available



  30. Links 17/4/2015: Wipro and the Netherlands Want FOSS

    Links for the day


CoPilotCo

RSS 64x64RSS Feed: subscribe to the RSS feed for regular updates

Home iconSite Wiki: You can improve this site by helping the extension of the site's content

Home iconSite Home: Background about the site and some key features in the front page

Chat iconIRC Channel: Come and chat with us in real time

CoPilotCo

Recent Posts