Bonum Certa Men Certa

The EPO Bubble — Part II — Signs of a Deflating Bubble?



Overview: [Teaser] The EPO's Deflating Patent Bubble and Pursuit of Illegal Software Patents (With Kangaroo Courts, UPC, and Bullied Examiners)

Series parts:

  1. The EPO Bubble — Part I — An “Unprecedented Surge”
  2. YOU ARE HERE ☞ Signs of a Deflating Bubble?


EPO bubble is gradually deflating
Going back down again (patents per year). Back in March 2017 Benoît Battistelli proudly boasted to the JURI Committee of the European Parliament that his reform measures at the EPO had secured an "unprecedented surge" in granted patents. Five years later in 2022 there are signs that the bubble is gradually deflating.



Summary: António Campinos is running a failing organisation whose sole goal became printing (or stamping) as many patent monopolies as possible for short-term financial gain, at the expense of or in violation of the law

As we saw in the opening part of the series, the official statistics published by the EPO show that between 2015 and 2019 the number of patents granted per year effectively doubled, increasing from 68,401 in 2015 to a peak of 137,784 in 2019.



In 2020, there was a small drop of around 3.0% compared to 2019.

EPO number of patents granted annually
The number of patents granted annually doubled from 2015 to 2019 but started to fall in 2020. Remember that quality is inversely proportional to quality.



Last year the downturn became more pronounced. According to official statistics, a total of 108,799 grants were issued in 2021. This represents a decrease of 18,6% relative to 2020.

"According to official statistics, a total of 108,799 grants were issued in 2021. This represents a decrease of 18,6% relative to 2020."To put this development into perspective, it is worth noting that during the period in question the number of incoming patent applications has not decreased to any significant extent.

As a matter of fact, the figures for 2012 to 2021 show a more or less uninterrupted upward trend for the number of patent applications filed at the EPO, with only occasional minor downward fluctuations of less than 1% in 2013, 2016 and 2020.

EPO patent applications
Number of patent applications per year. Over the last decade there has been a more or less uninterrupted upward trend in the number of patent applications filed at the EPO. Recall that by broadening scope (even illegally) once can invite more "demand".



From this it is apparent that the decrease in granted patents recorded in 2021 is not attributable to any fall-off in the number of incoming applications.

On the contrary, this decrease represents a significant drop in "production" or "output" compared to the preceding years. The decline of 18,6% for 2021 represents a shortfall of almost one-fifth compared to 2020.

There has been much speculation about the reasons for this downturn.

It is likely to be attributable, at least in part, to the disruption caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Another possible contributory factor is examiner fatigue after years of "sweated production" under a "France Télécom" managerial régime which has repeatedly and persistently breached the fundamental rights of staff, both under Battistelli and his successor Campinos.

Whatever the underlying causes of the "production shortfall" may be, one thing is certain.

If the downward trend continues. the EPO’s "output" of granted patents will soon have reverted back to the levels that prevailed before Battistelli’s "unprecedented surge" of 2016.

As we shall see in the upcoming parts, these developments represent a potential problem for certain "vested interests" - namely for all those dependent on EPOnia’s legendary "Dukatenesel", in particular the management of the EPO and their "friends" on the Organisation’s governing body, the Administrative Council.

Recent Techrights' Posts

Microsoft: Our "Goodwill" Gained Over 51 Billion Dollars in the Past Nine Months Alone, Now "Worth" as Much as All Our Physical Assets (Property and Equipment)
The makeup of a Ponzi scheme where the balance sheet has immaterial nonsense
FSFE (Ja, Das Gulag Deutschland) Has Lost Its Tongue
Articles/month
Ian Jackson & Debian reject mediation
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
How to get selected for Outreachy internships
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
 
Lucas Kanashiro & Debian/Canonical/Ubuntu female GSoC intern relationship
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Pranav Jain & Debian, DebConf, unfair rent boy rumors
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Links 27/04/2024: Kaiser Gave Patients' Data to Microsoft, "Microsoft Lost ‘Dream Job’ Status"
Links for the day
Gemini Links 27/04/2024: Sunrise Photos and Slow Productivity
Links for the day
Almost 2,700 New Posts Since Upgrading to Static Site 7 Months Ago, Still Getting More Productive Over Time
We've come a long way since last autumn
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day
IRC Proceedings: Friday, April 26, 2024
IRC logs for Friday, April 26, 2024
Overpaid lawyer & Debian miss WIPO deadline
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Brian Gupta & Debian: WIPO claim botched, suspended
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Microsoft's XBox is Dying (For Second Year in a Row Over 30% Drop in Hardware Sales)
they boast about fake numbers or very deliberately misleading numbers that represent two companies, not one
[Meme] Granting a Million Monopolies in Europe (to Non-European Companies) at Europe's Expense
Financialization of the EPO
Salary Adjustment Procedure at the EPO Challenged
the EPO must properly compensate staff in order to attract and retain suitably skilled examiners
Links 26/04/2024: Surveillance Abundant, Restoring Net Neutrality Rules (US)
Links for the day
Gemini Links 26/04/2024: uConsole and EXWM and stdu 1.0.0
Links for the day
Red Hat Corporate Communications is "Red" Now
Also notice they offer just two options: MICROSOFT or... MICROSOFT!
Links 26/04/2024: XBox Sales Have Collapsed, Facebook's Shares Collapse Too
Links for the day
Albanian women, Brazilian women & Debian Outreachy racism under Chris Lamb
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Microsoft-Funded 'News' Site: XBox Hardware Revenue Declined by 31%
Ignore the ludicrous media spin
Mark Shuttleworth, Elio Qoshi & Debian/Ubuntu underage girls
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Karen Sandler, Outreachy & Debian Money in Albania
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day
IRC Proceedings: Thursday, April 25, 2024
IRC logs for Thursday, April 25, 2024
Links 26/04/2024: Facebook Collapses, Kangaroo Courts for Patents, BlizzCon Canceled Under Microsoft
Links for the day
Gemini Links 26/04/2024: Music, Philosophy, and Socialising
Links for the day
Microsoft Claims "Goodwill" Is an Asset Valued at $119,163,000,000, Cash Decreased From $34,704,000,000 to $19,634,000,000 and Total Liabilities Grew to $231,123,000,000
Earnings Release FY24 Q3
More Microsoft Cuts: Events Canceled, Real Sales Down Sharply
So they will call (or rebrand) everything "AI" or "Azure" or "cloud" while adding revenues from Blizzard to pretend something is growing
CISA Has a Microsoft Conflict of Interest Problem (CISA Cannot Achieve Its Goals, It Protects the Worst Culprit)
people from Microsoft "speaking for" "Open Source" and for "security"
Links 25/04/2024: South Korean Military to Ban iPhone, Armenian Remembrance Day
Links for the day
Gemini Links 25/04/2024: SFTP, VoIP, Streaming, Full-Content Web Feeds, and Gemini Thoughts
Links for the day
Audiocasts/Shows: FLOSS Weekly and mintCast
the latest pair of episodes
[Meme] Arvind Krishna's Business Machines
He is harming Red Hat in a number of ways (he doesn't understand it) and Fedora users are running out of patience (many volunteers quit years ago)
[Video] Debian's Newfound Love of Censorship Has Become a Threat to the Entire Internet
SPI/Debian might end up with rotten tomatoes in the face
Joerg (Ganneff) Jaspert, Dalbergschule Fulda & Debian Death threats
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
Amber Heard, Junior Female Developers & Debian Embezzlement
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
[Video] Time to Acknowledge Debian Has a Real Problem and This Problem Needs to be Solved
it would make sense to try to resolve conflicts and issues, not exacerbate these
Daniel Pocock elected on ANZAC Day and anniversary of Easter Rising (FSFE Fellowship)
Reprinted with permission from Daniel Pocock
[Video] IBM's Poor Results Reinforce the Idea of Mass Layoffs on the Way (Just Like at Microsoft)
it seems likely Red Hat layoffs are in the making
Ulrike Uhlig & Debian, the $200,000 woman who quit
Reprinted with permission from disguised.work
IRC Proceedings: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
IRC logs for Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Over at Tux Machines...
GNU/Linux news for the past day